Pollsters do not talk to every single person in the country, so the results have some amount of error. The margin of error is a reminder that each finding is not exactly precise. It also is a guide for understanding how big the range of responses could be.

A big Trump lead in the state paradoxically adds to evidence of a smaller Electoral College edge for him. And a choice by pollsters may be causing them to miss state shifts.

CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten breaks down recent polling in battleground states.

AP VoteCast captures the views of voters — whether they vote in person on Election Day or weeks ahead of time — by beginning to interview registered voters several days before Election Day. Those interviews conclude as polls close in each state. Interviews are offered in English and Spanish, as needed.

Republicans have enlisted legions of poll watchers in Texas and across the country ahead of the Nov. 5 election, a move they say will safeguard against potential election fraud. The situation reflects a national debate in which Republicans warn about the need to combat election fraud,

In California, almost one-third of ballots were uncounted after election night. The state was making almost daily updates to its count through Dec. 3, a full month after Election Day. This wasn’t unusual or unexpected.

Americans will cast roughly 160 million ballots by the time Election Day comes to a close — in several different ways, including many cast a few weeks before polls even open

The poll also found that the majority of women, 59%, have become more interested in politics in the last several years. In contrast, 16% said their interest has decreased for this election cycle. Similarly, engagement in politics has gone up among women.

The phrase “October surprise” was popularised during the 1980 presidential election, when Democrats hoped that the release of Iranian hostages, taken during the revolution, would save President Jimmy Carter from losing re-election. That surprise never materialised and few have since.

Harris led by 2 points in Michigan (48 percent to 46), and a point in Nevada (48 percent to 47), Pennsylvania (48 percent to 47), and Wisconsin (47 percent to 46). In Georgia the candidates are tied at 47 percent. Trump leads by one point in Arizona (48 percent to 47 percent) and 2 points in North Carolina (47 percent to 45 percent).

In a head-to-head matchup, former President Trump has 50 percent of the vote among likely Arizona voters while Vice President Harris has 48 percent, with 2 percent undecided. Amon