One hundred years after women were granted the right to vote, the U.S. has more women in political office than ever before. Yet gender has been a major theme of the 2020 campaign, as candidates ...

Eight Republican candidates participated in the party’s first primary debate in August. But the stage could feature fewer contenders when the GOP holds its next debate later this month.

In his presidential campaign, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has pitched himself as a transformational leader who has reshaped the politics of his home state. His 2022 reelection by 19 percentage ...

The vanguard of American conservatism is Florida — at least, according to its governor. The state is on “the front lines in the battle for freedom,” Gov. Ron DeSantis said to the Florida ...

After months of prognosticating and tons of built-up anticipation, the day is finally upon us: President Biden has announced that he’s seeking a second term in 2024. The announcement comes after ...

Today, FiveThirtyEight is launching our endorsement tracker for the 2024 Republican presidential primary. And while it’s early in the primary season, former President Donald Trump currently has ...

Projections as of March 24, 2023. Elo wins are based on a regressed version of 2022′s final Elo ratings.

Includes polls of special elections and runoffs. Excludes polls from pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight, New Hampshire primary polls taken before the Iowa caucuses and other states ...

Longtime readers of FiveThirtyEight are probably familiar with our pollster ratings: letter grades that we assign to pollsters based on their historical accuracy and transparency. Since 2008, we ...

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. So for this week’s FiveThirtyEight politics chat, Alex Samuels and Geoffrey Skelley are joining me to ...

Sens. Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins — long-tenured moderates — are among the Senate Republicans most likely to support legislation that increases the debt ceiling. Nothing is certain in ...

Political battles in Washington sometimes feature the hallmarks of a bad sequel that uses the same narrative threads as its predecessor — just with less verve and imagination. In 2023, it’s ...